Rapid Risk Assessment: Outbreak of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): increased transmission globally – fifth update

The risk associated with COVID-19 infection for people in the EU/EEA and UK is currently considered to be moderate to high, based on the probability of transmission and the impact of the disease. [...] The increase in case numbers and the number of countries outside China reporting those cases increases the potential routes of importation of the infection into the EU/EEA and the UK. [...] What is the risk of widespread and sustained transmission in the EU/EEA and UK in the coming weeks? The risk of widespread and sustained transmission of COVID-19 in the EU/EEA and the UK in the coming weeks is moderate to high with more countries reporting more cases and clusters This assessment is based on the following factors: • There is an increasing number of countries with local or widesprea. [...] What is the risk for healthcare system capacity in the EU/EEA and the UK in the coming weeks? The risk for healthcare system capacity in the EU/EEA and the UK in the coming weeks is considered moderate to high. [...] Scenario 3 In scenario 3, the objectives of surveillance are to monitor the intensity and spread of nCoV in the population, to measure the impact on population and the health care system and to measure the impact of any mitigation measures.