Unsettled Conflicts: How will the Russian- ANALYSIS - Ukrainian War Reshape the

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Unsettled Conflicts: How will the Russian- ANALYSIS - Ukrainian War Reshape the

17 Feb 2023

Despite the policies that the European Union has sought to adopt in the past years to reduce dependence on Russian gas through the diversification strategy1 announced in 2014, the volume of European dependence on Russian gas reached to fulfill about 40% of the continent’s needs in 2021.2 On the contrary, Germany increased its imports of Russian gas to the extent that it has become the largest cons. [...] Within the framework of the American efforts to strengthen its military and strategic presence in the Southeastern European region, as well as in the context of the increasing military cooperation between the United States and Greece over the past few years, Washington is seeking to transform the Greek port of Alexandroupoli on the Aegean Sea (the port is located in Northeast Greece close to the T. [...] Although the line is the shortest and least expensive means to deliver Israeli gas to Europe, the slow return of relations between Turkey and Israel, as well as the Turkish-Cypriot disputes over the maritime borders50 may delay the start of the project for the foreseeable future. [...] However, the challenges imposed by the Russian-Ukrainian war, whether those related to the development of military cooperation between Greece and America and the growing Turkish military capabilities or those related to the efforts of the Turkish and Greek sides to expand hydrocarbon research and exploration in the Eastern Mediterranean and develop the infrastructure for transporting gas to Europe. [...] However, the continuation and flare-up of tensions between Turkey and Greece at the present time, and the disruption of the normalization process of the Egyptian-Turkish relations, as well as the political instability in Israel due to fragile coalition governments that make it difficult to build coherent relations with Ankara lead to the persistence of tensions in the region.
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Turkey