Policy Simulation Modelling to Inform National Carbon Budget Pathways - Ms. Vera O’Riordan, Dr. Tomás Mac Uidhir, Dr. Fionn Rogan

Fionn Rogan Energy Policy and Modelling Group MaREI, SFI Centre for Energy, Climate, and Marine, University College Cork, Ireland Ire la n d ’s Gre e n Ho u s e Ga s Em is s io n s W h e r e d o t h e y c o m e f r o m ? 11% 15 % LULUCF En e rg y In d u s t r ie s 7% 6 9 10 %Ma n u fa c t u rin g Re s id e n t ia l Mt CO2e q 33% 16 % Ag ric u lt u re Tra n s p o rt Source: Environmental Protection. [...] p/a) 60 50 40 30 Net Zero 20 10 0 Energy Industries Residential Commercial Industry Transport F-Gases, Waste, Other Agriculture LULUCF Slide 2/10 GHG Emissions (MTCO2eq.) 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2021 2025 2030 2050 GHG Emissions in Ireland by sector (Past: 1990 - 2021, Targeted: 2025, 2030, 2050) 90 Carbon Budget 1 80 (59 MTCO2eq. [...] p/a) 60 50 40 30 Net Zero 20 10 0 Energy Industries Residential Commercial Industry Transport F-Gases, Waste, Other Agriculture LULUCF Slide 2/10 GHG Emissions (MTCO2eq.) 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2021 2025 2030 2050 GHG Emissions in Ireland by sector (Past: 1990 - 2021, Targeted: 2025, 2030, 2050) 90 Carbon Budget 1 80 (59 MTCO2eq. [...] p/a) 60 50 40 30 Net Zero 20 10 0 Energy Industries Residential Commercial Industry Transport F-Gases, Waste, Other Agriculture LULUCF Slide 2/10 GHG Emissions (MTCO2eq.) 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2021 2025 2030 2050 Simulation Modelling Priva te c a rs Na vig a tio n & Avia tio n Ac tivity x In te n s ity Fre ig h t Ac tive m o d e s Pu b lic Tra n s p o rt Slide 3/10 Simulation Modellin. [...] Residential Emissions2 Services Emissions Industry Emissions Electricity Sector Emissions Residential Emissions 200 Carbon Budget Electricity Sector Emissions Transport Emissions 2 target: Transport Emissions 150 Waste, F Gases, Industrial 29 4 200 MTCO2eq.