We adopted and calibrated the ICCT’s cost curve study for diesel trucks to our projection of future vehicle efficiency, weight, and cost for diesel dump trucks.21 Table 9 summarizes the potential efficiency technologies and additional costs we assumed for the diesel dump truck model to 2035. [...] Similarly for the fuel-cell electric dump truck, the share of the fuel cell and battery pack in the total retail price decreases from 41% in 2021 to 25% in 2035, and the share of the hydrogen storage tank decreases from 20% to 12%. [...] 24 Since 2018, the People’s Bank of China and the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) have stipulated that loan amounts for car purchases cannot exceed 70% of the price of diesel trucks and 75% of the price of BETs and FCETs. [...] Vehicle simulation models were developed in Amesim to project the energy consumption with the power train- and efficiency-specific technical potentials in Table 9 and Table 11 for the diesel dump truck, battery-electric dump truck, and fuel-cell electric dump truck models.27 The model was validated with the baseline (2021) energy consumption by using the real-word urban delivery speed file collect. [...] 5-year TCO and the parity point of the top-selling diesel dump truck, the cheapest electric, and the most expensive fuel cell dump truck models in Guangzhou and Foshan, 2021–2035.
- Pages
- 26
- Published in
- United States of America
