Conflict risk escalates amid rising food and water scarcity and inflationary pressures - London, November 1, 2023:

Ecological degradation and conflict are cyclical, whereby the degradation of resources leads to conflict, while conflict leads to the degradation of resources. [...] By 2050, the number of youths under 15 in the region will account for more than the entire population of Europe, highlighting the dynamic changes in global population distribution. [...] In a world facing increased ecological degradation, conflict and forced migration, world leaders need to invest in programmes that build the capabilities that create positive resilience and drive economic advancement.” Megacities: Rising Pollution and Population The number of megacities5 are on the rise and projected to increase from 33 to 50 by 2050. [...] Of the 50 projected megacities, 60% are in countries in the bottom half of the Global Peace Index. [...] The ETR is unique in that it takes a multi-faceted, machine learning approach to combine measures of resilience with the most comprehensive ecological data available to shed light on the countries least likely to cope with extreme ecological shocks, now and into the future.