Frequently Asked Questions Regarding the New Jersey Science and

Estimates are organized by: the climate scenario; the report; the degree of warming expected by the end of the century (Degree of Warming °C); and the confidence levels of processes included in each projection. [...] These reports answer the question: What is the likelihood of different amounts of sea level rise under different future climate scenarios? In contrast, the Interagency report offers scenarios of future sea level change to answer the 10 question: What is the range of plausible future sea level that a decision maker might wish to consider (incorporating both the range of possible emissions and the r. [...] While direct comparisons cannot be made between the STAP and IPCC report’s projections and the Interagency report’s scenarios, the central tendencies (medians) of the Interagency report scenarios range from 2.1 to 7.0 ft of sea level rise at 2100, encompassing the likely ranges projected by the STAP and IPCC reports except at the lowest end of the STAP and IPCC low emissions projections. [...] Over the last 4,000 years, the dominant long-term driver of SLR in New Jersey has been the sinking of the land as part of the ongoing response to the disappearance of the North American ice sheet (i.e., glacial isostatic adjustment discussed in question 3 above). [...] How would the projections of the 2016 STAP report translate into the framework of the 2019 STAP report? The 2016 STAP report used different emissions scenarios than the 2019 STAP report.