Vulnerable 4.5°C Populations in a Warming World - Four Futures Explored

2 In the most food insecure countries in the world, particularly in Africa, the loss to staple crop yields is on average two-thirds less in the Global Collaboration Scenario than in the Climate Catastrophe Scenario.2 3 The negative impact on average agriculture yields across the six crops3 we monitored is almost two-and-a-half times more severe in the worst-case scenario compared to the Global Col. [...] In the sub-Saharan countries of the Sahel, for instance, the mortality rates are mitigate climate eight-times lower in the Global Collaboration Scenario than in the Climate Catastrophe Scenario. [...] This framework allows us aims to identify critical uncertainties to focus on issues of equity, climate and develop plausible long-term justice, and poverty, and to explore the scenarios in a manner that allows us implications of our choices for the poor to explore the future in a sober and and vulnerable, and their access to analytical fashion. [...] The world’s energy-poor the Sahel (and adjacent to it) are countries, which start, on average, with consistently the most vulnerable – highlighting a warmer baseline temperature and accounting for 8 of the top 10 most one of the with less access to the infrastructure, afflicted countries, but here too, healthcare and cooling that can mitigate the mortality rates are up to eight most profound the e. [...] In INDIA a global collaboration scenario as South Sudan, for instance, the rise the diminished demand in the winter in electricity demand in the Climate NIGER months more than offsets increased Catastrophe Scenario amounts to SOUTH SUDAN demand for cooling in the warmer over four-times the current per capita months.