The Tajikistan Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) explores the impact of climate change and global decarbonization on Tajikistan's development. It identifies key areas to enhance climate resilience and deepen decarbonization and outlines priority recommendations for a successful green transition in Tajikistan, requiring structural reforms, climate-conscious policies, and inclusive strategies for a resilient and sustainable future.Despite economic growth and poverty reduction over the past two decades, Tajikistan's reliance on natural resources and remittances has led to unsustainable development, depleting natural capital and limiting job creation. The government's green transition plan focuses on renewable energy, promising energy security, economic growth, and regional electricity exports. However, further efforts are needed for a resilient development path, including a complementary reform program to bring significant economic benefits, climate adaptation, and low-carbon development that will benefit Tajikistan and Central Asia's electricity systems. Climate change poses significant risks, threatening water security, agricultural productivity, and infrastructure, potentially reducing GDP per capita by 5-6% by mid-century and pushing 100,000 people into poverty. Additional adaptation measures are crucial, focusing on water management, resilient landscapes, climate-smart agriculture, and disaster risk management. A low-carbon development pathway offers a more resilient and prosperous future, with near net-zero emissions in energy and waste sectors by 2050, boosting economic growth, and job creation and reducing air pollution. Achieving these goals requires substantial investments and institutional reforms to mobilize private capital and attract green foreign investment. Development partners can provide financial assistance, technical expertise, and capacity building.
Authors
- Disclosure Date
- 2024/11/06
- Disclosure Status
- Disclosed
- Doc Name
- Tajikistan - Country Climate and Development Report
- Pages
- 106
- Product Line
- Advisory Services & Analytics
- Published in
- United States of America
- Rel Proj ID
- TJ-Tajikistan Country Climate And Development Report -- P500460
- Unit Owning
- ECA Regional Director (SCADR)
- Version Type
- Final
- Volume No
- 1
Table of Contents
- COUNTRY CLIMATE 3
- AND DEVELOPMENT REPORT 3
- TAJIKISTAN 3
- Table of contents 5
- Acknowledgments 8
- Abbreviations 10
- Executive Summary 11
- Chapter 1 25
- Climate change and development in Tajikistan 25
- Chapter 2 35
- Institutional and policy assessment 35
- Chapter 3 43
- Pathways for adaptation and resilience 43
- DUSHANBE DUSHANBE 52
- KHUJAND KHUJAND 52
- DUSHANBE DUSHANBE 52
- KHUJAND KHUJAND 52
- Chapter 4 55
- Toward a resilient and innovative low-carbon economy 55
- Chapter 5 71
- The macroeconomic implications of climate change and inclusive transition 71
- Chapter 6 83
- Financing climate action and mobilizing the private sector 83
- Chapter 7 95
- From assessment to action 95
- Annex 1. Scenario Overview Table 100
- References 101
