This paper shares the results of an exercise hosted by the RAND Corporation to explore the risk of escalation from Chinese activities in the gray zone to conventional war. The results showed an overall low risk of Taiwanese escalation because of Chinese military power and Chinese and U.S. constraints on Taiwan's decisionmaking. The exercise's U.S. team would consider escalation to military force only if Taiwan faced an existential threat.
Authors
Cooper, Cortez A. III, Smith, Jackson, Ke, Ivana, Kuo, Raymond, Curriden, Christian, Chang, Joan
- Division
- RAND National Security Research Division International Security and Defense Policy Program
- Pages
- 44
- Published in
- United States
- RAND Identifier
- CF-A2065-1
- RAND Type
- report
- Rights
- RAND Corporation
- Series
- Conference Proceedings
- Source
- https://www.rand.org/pubs/conf_proceedings/CFA2065-1.html
