MO IBRAHIM FOUNDATION - A coup is never a solution - Analysis of the warning

5 The volatile security context in the Sahel The recent coups in the Sahel, with the exception of Guinea, have occurred against a backdrop of increasing insecurity. [...] • The decline in Security & Rule of Law in the last five years has been In the IIAG Security & overwhelmingly driven by the Security & Safety (-34.2) sub-category. [...] • The most declined indicators in the Security & Rule of Law category since 2017 highlight the growing attacks on checks, balances, and accountability mechanisms in the build up to the coup. [...] in favour of military rule • In Burkina Faso support for military increased from 50% in the 2016/2018 in the 2016-2018 survey survey round to 63.5% in the 2021/2023 survey round. [...] 80% of Malians supported • In the 2016/2018 survey round, roughly one fifth (20.7%) of the military rule in the 2021- respondents in Guinea approved of military rule, while in the 2021/2023 2023 survey round one, this figure grew to roughly one third (36.4%) of respondents.